Transport Trends

From 1991-1999, individual transport demand including road, rail and aviation grew by 18 per cent in the EU-15. The corresponding increase in transport demand by 2.1 per cent per year was higher than average annual GDP growth of 1.9 per c ent. Do you expect this trend (2.1 per cent per year) to be higher or lower in the next years?

Regarding freight transport, between 1991 and 1999 demand grew by almost 30 per cent in EU-15 – the average annual growth rate of 3.3 % exceeded annual GDP growth. Do you expect this trend (3.3 per cent per year) to be higher or lower in the next years?

In the new Member States freight transport grew in line with economic development as measured by GDP growth. Consider an average growth of freight transport in new Member States of 4 per cent. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

Between 1990 and 1999, the share of individual motorised transport in the total passenger transport remained stable at 80 per cent in the EU15. Do you expect this ratio to be higher or lower in the next years?

Between 1990 and 1999, the share of aviation in total passenger transport increased by 50 per cent in the EU15 which corresponds to an annual average increase of 5 per cent. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

Between 1990 and 1999, the share of environmentally-friendly modes of transport in passenger transport decreased by 1.5 per cent in the EU15. Do you expect this trend (1.5 per cent over 10 years) to be higher or lower in the next years?

In the mid-nineties, in the EU15 road infrastructure investment dominated with 63 per cent while only 20 per cent was invested in rail. Do you expect this ratio to be higher or lower in the next years?

By 2000, about 10 per cent of the road network was affected by daily traffic jams in the EU15. Do you expect this ratio to be higher or lower in the next years?

The number of cars on European streets increased between 1990 and 2000 by 24 per cent in the EU-15, which corresponds to an annual average increase of 2.1 per cent. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

The number of cars in new Members States increased between 1990 and 2000 by 60 per cent, which corresponds to an average annual increase of 6 per cent. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

The current rate of increase of passenger-kilometres per capita in the EU15 is 2.1 per cent per year on average. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

The current rate of increase of the modal share of road freight transport is 4.7 per cent per year on average in the EU15. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

Short-sea shipping represented 35 per cent of freight modal share in 1998. The White Paper on European transport policy expects to see this increase to 41 per cent by the year 2010. This would imply an increase of 17 per cent over 12 years or an annual average increase of 1.4 per cent. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

Today the total investment in transport infrastructure represents on average 1 per cent of GDP. Do you expect this trend to be higher or lower in the next years?

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