Economy Statements

Economy Statement 1

Individual demand for transport will continue to increase in line with GDP in the EU15 due to higher wages and the fact that people spend more or less the same percentage of their disposable income on transport. Freight transport will also grow due to increased economic activity. This is assuming that there is no major technological innovation that breaks the close association between economic and transport growth and no major shift in behavioural patterns

1. Do you agree that the association between GDP growth and passenger transport is to be explained through wages? (%)

Yes	64,4
No	35,6
N valid	59
Missing	7

2. Do you agree that the association between GDP growth and freight transport is to be explained through distribution of economic activity and trade? (%)

Yes	90,6
No	9,4
N valid	64
Missing	2

3. Do you expect GDP to continue to grow in the future? (%)

Very much	1	10,9
2		57,8
3		25,0
4		6,3
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		64
Missing		2

4. Do you expect GDP and freight transport to continue to grow in the future? (%)

Very much	1	7,9
2		47,6
3		41,3
4		3,2
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		63
Missing		3

5. Do you expect that households will continue to spend a considerable amount of their income on transport in the future? (%)

Very much	1	16,9
2		63,1
3		16,9
4		3,1
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		65
Missing		1

6. Do you expect there will be major technological innovations that help break the close association between transport and economic growth? (%)

Very much	1	1,6
2		10,9
3		26,6
4		50,0
Not at all	5	10,9
N valid		64
Missing		2

7. Do you expect there will be major shifts in behaviour that help break the close association between passenger transport and economic growth? (%)

Very much	1	0,0
2		16,9
3		32,3
4		44,6
Not at all	5	6,2
N valid		65
Missing		1

8. Do you expect there will be major shifts in behaviour that help break the close association between freight transport and economic growth? (%)

Very much	1	1,5
2		9,2
3		29,2
4		49,2
Not at all	5	10,8
N valid		65
Missing		1

Economy Statement 2

Assuming contemporary trends in GDP growth and no major changes with regard to transport policy, technological innovation and individual mobility patterns, the modal share of road and air will continue to dominate in the EU15. The share of rail and alternative modes of transport will stagnate or decrease. In the Member States, the modal share of cars will keep growing significantly

1. Do you expect the share of air transport regarding passengers to increase in the future? (%)

Very much	1	20,3
2		46,9
3		25,0
4		6,3
Not at all	5	1,6
N valid		64
Missing		2

2. Do you expect the rate of motorisation in new Members States to continue to increase in the future? (%)

Very much	1	49,2
2		41,5
3		9,3
4		0,0
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		65
Missing		1

Economy Statement 3

Assuming that the economies in the new Member States will continue to grow and recognizing the significant increase in motorisation rate, we can expect that congestion will become a major problem in the new Member States, since infrastructure is neither adequate in length nor in quality in order to serve a much higher traffic volume

1. Do you expect the economies in the new Member States to continue to grow? (%)

Very much	1	24,6
2		50,8
3		24,6
4		0,0
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		65
Missing		1

2. Do you expect that infrastructure investment in the New Member States will increase in the future? (%)

Very much	1	24,6
2		46,2
3		21,5
4		7,7
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		65
Missing		1

3. Do you foresee that infrastructure investment in the new Member States will mainly be absorbed by road in the future? (%)

Very much	1	21,9
2		51,6
3		18,8
4		7,8
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		64
Missing		2

4. Do you expect that the motorisation rate will continue to increase in the new Member States in the future? (%)

Very much	1	39,1
2		50,0
3		9,4
4		1,6
Not at all	5	0,0
N valid		64
Missing		2

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