Futures - Attitudinal

Please rate the following attitudinal futures with regard to (a)     how likely they are [ r ] (b)     how desirable they are [ O ] where ‘1’ corresponds to ‘very likely’ / ‘very desirable’ and ‘5’ to ‘very unlikely’ / ‘not desirable at all’. Use ‘9’ if you do not know or have no opinion. Future 1: ‘Individualism predominates’ Consumerism prevails and there is an emphasis on the immediate individual gratification of needs at the expense of solidarity, social / political responsibility and environmental consciousness. Technology is viewed positively and speed is valorised. Future 2: ‘Communitarianism predominates’ There is a strong sense of ‘belonging’ and societal responsibility, albeit limited to the ‘in-group’ (cultural, religious, regional, or local). Individual autonomy is secondary to social capital. Technology is viewed with mistrust. The local environment is valued greatly. Future 3: ‘Pluralism and tolerance prevails’ A cosmopolitan (open) attitude combined with tolerance towards difference supports pluralism and liberalism, where individual autonomy is valued, albeit balanced with solidarity (towards others and the environment). Technology is valued as a means to an end. Future 4: ‘Marked polarization and friction’ There is a strong divide within societies across the urban / rural dimension and cultural / religious traditions with attitudes differing widely according to structural criteria and life conditions. This polarisation leads to friction and conflict.

Likelihood of Attitudinal Futures (%)
		Att_Future 1		Att_Future 2		Att_Future 3		Att_Future 4
		Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2
very likely	1	23,9	20,9	0,0	0,0	2,5	0,0	6,4	7,6		Att_Future 1 : Individualism predominates
2		54,1	58,7	7,5	10,6	16,4	10,6	30,6	25,8		Att_Future 2 : Communitarianism
3		17,0	17,9	26,9	18,2	47,2	60,6	26,8	39,4		Att_Future 3 : Pluralism and Tolerance
4		5,0	1,5	43,8	51,5	28,9	25,8	25,5	21,2		Att_Future 4 : Polarisation
not at all	5	0,0	0,0	21,9	19,7	5,0	3,0	10,8	6,1
Total valid	N	159	67	160	66	159	66	157	66

 

Desirability of Attitudinal Futures (%)
		Att_Future 1		Att_Future 2		Att_Future 3		Att_Future 4
		Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2
very desired	1	1,9	3,0	7,5	4,5	50,6	41,5	2,0	0,0
2		7,7	4,5	27,7	30,3	34,6	9,2	1,3	3,1
3		12,8	20,9	30,8	39,4	9,6	6,2	2,6	31,0
4		34,0	38,8	22,6	22,7	4,5	1,5	13,8	15,6
not at all	5	43,6	32,8	11,3	3,0	0,6	1,5	80,3	78,1
Total valid	N	156	67	159	66	156	65	152	64

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