Futures - Demographic

Please rate the following demographic futures with regard to (a)     how likely they are (b)     how desirable they are where ‘1’ corresponds to ‘very likely’ / ‘very desirable’ and ‘5’ to ‘very unlikely’ / ‘not desirable at all’. Use ‘9’ if you do not know or have no opinion. Future 1: ‘Contemporary ageing trends continue’ Low fertility rates and migration lead to a stale in population growth. In conjunction with a steady increase of life expectancy this aggravates the ageing of the population. The population is skewed towards the older age cohorts. This is a general trend despite small regional variations. Future 2: ‘A new age balance’ The declining trend in fertility rates is reversed and migration controls are loosened. As a result there is a counter-balance to the ageing population and this leads to a more balanced distribution of age cohorts within and across societies.

 

Likelihood of Demographic Futures (%)
		Dem_Future 1		Dem_Future 2
		Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2
very likely	1	22,6	15,4	1,3	0,0		Dem_Future 1 : Ageing continues
2		52,8	67,3	16,1	7,7		Dem_Future 2 : New age balance
3		15,7	17,3	34,8	30,8
4		6,9	0,0	34,8	57,5
not at all =	5	1,9	0,0	12,9	3,8
Total valid = N		159	52	159	52

 

Desirability of Demographic Futures (%)
		Dem_Future 1		Dem_Future 2
		Wave 1	Wave 2	Wave 1	Wave 2
very desired	1	2,1	2,0	17,8	11,8
2		9,0	9,8	35,5	51,0
3		27,8	25,5	32,9	31,4
4		38,9	47,1	11,2	3,9
not at all	5	22,2	15,7	2,6	2,0
Total valid	N	144	51	152	51

INDEX | NEXT (ATTITUDINAL)